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The chances of a 20 25% rally under these conditions seem quite slim to us. Of course, there's a large variance. We're not trying to pick these small moves in the market. I wanted to bring up some technical factors briefly, because I think they might show a pullback is coming. In the chart below, you can see Under Armour against its bollinger bands. In the past six months, you can see a number of distinct pullbacks when the upper band is hit.

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